Trump sent one of his last signals to Iran

It is no secret to anyone what happened in the Middle East after George W. Bush, who led the United States at the beginning of the 21st century, addressed the world community before the invasion of Iraq. In short, Bush's speech was an announcement of a crime that would destroy Iraq, one of the most important centers of Eastern civilization. Today, there is another target in the region that could repeat this fate: Iran. Since Trump came to power, the threats in this regard have been growing every day. Trump, who did not give the Persians peace in his first mandate, is continuing this work sharply in his second term. The danger is that there are a number of similarities between the US threats to Iraq yesterday and Iran today. For example, if the motive for the invasion of Iraq was a fabricated tale about weapons of mass destruction, the threat to Iran today is also related to the destruction of its nuclear program. If the invasion of Iraq took place during the Bush administration, which caused a number of foreign policy setbacks, today's threats against Iran are being carried out by Donald Trump, who is capable of committing crimes no less than Bush on the international stage. The problem is that Trump has enough experience in this regard. The public assassination of Qassem Soleimani in 2020 and the assassination of the "father of the Iranian bomb" Mohsen Fakhrizadeh confirm this. Therefore, if the development of events goes beyond the scope of a diplomatic solution, the possibility of another historic setback in the Middle East is very high. We will talk about them in detail below.

                              "Fire" of the conflict

This year, US President Donald Trump has repeatedly stated that he will force official Tehran to sign a nuclear deal by exerting maximum pressure on Iran and completely isolating it, both before and after his inauguration. On February 4, US President Donald Trump signed a national security memorandum that called for "maximum pressure" on Iran’s nuclear program. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi responded by calling Trump’s fear of developing nuclear weapons unfounded, stressing that the country remains committed to the Non-Proliferation Treaty and that Iran has a religious ban on such activities, citing a fatwa banning nuclear weapons.

Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei said that sitting down at the negotiating table with the US was pointless and would not solve any problems. In addition to Khamenei’s words, Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi, who is currently the most active politician in the Persian government, said that Iran would never give in to the US and would not accept Trump’s “pressured” negotiations, if necessary.

A month after these rhetorical clashes, it was reported that US President Donald Trump had sent a letter to Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei to discuss the country's nuclear program. Trump himself said in an interview with Fox Business that he had sent the letter to the Iranian leader and that he would prefer to reach a nuclear deal with him. During a meeting with reporters at the White House, the US president made his threats more explicit. At that time, Trump spoke about how the relationship with Iran was in question and that interesting days lay ahead for everyone. He also issued his first open threat to Iran this year that day. Trump said that the situation with Iran was in the "final stages" and that this was a very important point in the situation. He added that he hoped for a peace agreement, but if such an agreement did not happen, other options would resolve the issue, hinting at a bloody scenario.

“I hope we can reach a peace agreement. I prefer a peace agreement to any other option. But if there is no peace agreement, then any other option will solve this issue,” the White House chief said.

In response to Trump’s letter to Iran and his demands, the country’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei called the US government "unscrupulous" and said he would not negotiate with it. Iran’s second-in-command, President Masoud Peshmerga, told the US on March 11 that it “can do whatever it wants, but it will never negotiate with it under pressure.” Thus ended the first round of the battle between Trump and the Persian leaders.

                                       Letter arrives in Iran

On March 7, Trump reportedly sent a letter to Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in an interview with Fox Business Network. However, Iran's permanent mission to the United Nations initially responded by saying, "We have not received such a letter yet." Later, a US official told the country's press that Trump had written a letter of this nature but had not yet sent it. However, shortly thereafter, on the evening of March 12, Anwar Gargash, an adviser to the President of the United Arab Emirates, traveled to Tehran to meet with Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi. According to the country's press, during this visit, Gargash handed Araqchi a letter from US President Trump to Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei. The contents of the letter and its demands remained unknown for some time. A week later, reports began to circulate about the details of Trump's letter. In particular, Axios reported that the US President had set a two-month deadline for concluding a new nuclear deal in a letter to the Iranian Supreme Leader. According to the publication, Trump's letter to Khamenei was written in a harsh tone, offering to negotiate a new nuclear deal with Iran. He warned that if Tehran rejected the offer and continued to develop its nuclear program, there would be dire consequences. The US President stated that he did not want negotiations that would last "a lifetime" and set a two-month deadline. According to the publication, it is not clear when this deadline will be calculated. It was assumed that this deadline could be calculated from the date the letter was sent or from the date negotiations between the two countries began. These fears about Iran's alleged nuclear capabilities have not increased on their own. It has been repeatedly noted that over the past four years, Iran's nuclear program has developed significantly and that the country is very close to creating a nuclear weapon. According to the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), Iran currently has uranium enriched to 60 percent, which could be enough to make six nuclear bombs if it were to reach 90 percent. However, Tehran has consistently denied that it is seeking to develop nuclear weapons.

                                           Hint at the fate of Iraq

A few hours ago, US President Donald Trump reportedly told NBC News in a telephone interview that Iran would face "unprecedented" bombardments if it did not reach a nuclear deal. With this, the White House leader threatened Tehran with large-scale military action. This time, Trump, in his own style, put pressure on Tehran and threatened to bomb Iran if a nuclear deal was not signed, sending one of his most serious and probably final warnings to the Persian authorities. This threat seems to indicate that the "final stage" mentioned by Trump in early March is quite close. The reason why it is considered to be one of the last signals is that, as already noted, Trump does not think much about the negotiations with Iran. The sensational assassination of Iranian military leader Qasem Soleimani, who was once one of the most powerful figures in the Middle East, is a clear example of this. Therefore, today the issue of the nuclear agreement between the US and Iran is already on the verge of a "dangerous border." This means that in the near future everything, including George Bush's speech in 2003, will be repeated in the case of Trump, and subsequent events will likely flare up according to the same ominous scenario.