Dramatic weather changes expected in October

north_east

Cool and humid air masses approaching Uzbekistan

October this year will begin with a sharp change in weather conditions, Uzhydromet reported.

Following the warm weather observed at the end of September, the first autumn cold snap of the season will arrive in Uzbekistan on October 1–2.

In the northern, central, and eastern regions of the country, rain is expected in some areas. Daytime temperatures will drop to 18–21 degrees Celsius and nighttime temperatures to 8–13 degrees. In the north, the temperature will fall even further, to 13–16 degrees during the day and 4–5 degrees at night.

On October 3, precipitation will remain only in the Fergana Valley regions.

From October 4 to 10, mainly dry weather is forecast across the country. During this period, temperatures will rise by 5–7 degrees, with daytime temperatures reaching 23–26 degrees.

In the second and third decades of October, rain is expected on some days (2–3 days) in certain areas. Nighttime temperatures will range from 10–15 degrees to as low as 0 to –2 degrees in the north, while daytime temperatures will range from 15–20 degrees to 23–28 degrees.

For reference, according to climate norms, October typically sees 4 to 6 days of rain, rising to 7–9 days in foothill areas and 1–3 days in the extreme south. In rare cases, during severe cold spells that occur roughly once every 8–10 years, rain can briefly turn into snow.

Average monthly precipitation in October ranges from 13 mm to 25 mm across most of the country, 27 mm to 70 mm in the mountains, and 3 mm to 11 mm in the northern, southern, and desert regions.

October weather patterns can vary significantly depending on the temperature regime. October 2015 was the wettest in Uzbekistan this century: in Tashkent, monthly precipitation reached 88 mm — nearly four times the monthly norm — with 62 mm falling over just three days.

The highest October precipitation ever recorded in Tashkent was in 1901, when it reached 126 mm.

In some years, the number of rainy days in October does not exceed two or three, and completely dry Octobers are very rare. October 2020 was the driest for the period 2001–2024, with dry weather prevailing across most of the country throughout the month.